RC
ROGERS CORP (ROG)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered sequential improvement with net sales $202.8M (+6.5% q/q), gross margin 31.6% (+170 bps q/q), and adjusted EPS $0.34, all in-line with guidance, while GAAP EPS was heavily impacted by non-cash impairment and restructuring charges .
- Versus Wall Street consensus (S&P Global), revenue was a beat ($202.8M vs $198.8M*), but adjusted/normalized EPS was a miss ($0.34 vs $0.50*); gross margin was essentially in-line (31.6% vs 31.65%*) — driven by favorable FX and stronger industrial/portable/A&D/ADAS but offset by Belgium write-off and underutilization in Germany .
- Management announced additional cost actions in AES curamik® to rebalance capacity (Europe-to-China), targeting >$13M annual run-rate savings with $12–$20M restructuring charges; these savings are incremental to the prior $32M program, with the full $13M not expected until Q4 2026 .
- Q3 2025 guidance calls for modest sales growth ($200–$215M) and margin uplift (31.5–33.5%), with adjusted EPS $0.50–$0.90; capex for 2025 reaffirmed at $30–$40M, and share repurchases remain a capital priority, with $76M remaining authorization .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Sales growth across most end-markets; AES +4.6% q/q and EMS +8.2% q/q; FX added $3.6M to net sales .
- Sequential margin improvement to 31.6% and adjusted EBITDA to $23.9M (11.8% margin), helped by higher sales and favorable mix .
- Strategic pivot: “rebalancing our capacity between Europe and China… ramping up manufacturing capabilities in China” to strengthen curamik’s competitiveness and unlock local-for-local advantages .
- Quote: “Sales, gross margin and adjusted earnings per share were all within our guidance ranges for the quarter” — Interim CEO Ali El‑Haj .
- What Went Wrong
- GAAP net loss of $(73.6)M due to $71.8M non-cash goodwill impairment and $4.3M restructuring expenses tied to curamik® outlook reset .
- Gross margin below guidance midpoint due to a material write-off related to Belgium facility cessation and underutilization at curamik Germany .
- Normalized/adjusted EPS missed S&P consensus ($0.34 vs $0.50*), reflecting mix, under-absorption and restructuring drag despite sequential improvements .
Financial Results
Q2 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus:
- Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment dynamics and KPIs:
Non‑GAAP adjustments (Q2 2025):
- Total adjustments to EPS: $4.33 (Restructuring/impairment $4.14; intangible amortization $0.15; valuation allowance $0.21; tax impacts $(0.16)) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Looking ahead to the third quarter we expect further improvement… from slightly higher sales and cost reduction measures” — Ali El‑Haj, Interim CEO .
- “We are rebalancing our capacity between Europe and China… ramping up manufacturing capabilities in China and reducing capacity in our European operations” — Ali El‑Haj .
- “Q2 gross margin was 31.6%… below the midpoint… due to [a] material write-off related to our Belgium facility… and underutilization at our curamik Germany factory” — Laura Russell, CFO .
- “We anticipate share repurchases in Q3 to be in a similar range to the second quarter… ~$76M remaining” — Laura Russell .
Q&A Highlights
- Execution focus: CEO aims to cut lead times by 50–60% and accelerate new product development to win programs faster .
- Cost savings trajectory: Cumulative savings of ~$45M (prior $32M plus new $13M) with the incremental $13M manifesting primarily starting Q4 2026 .
- Margin drivers: Expansion hinges on volume/utilization, mix optimization, and ongoing restructuring benefits; Q3 guide embeds operational tailwinds .
- Capital returns: Buybacks to continue opportunistically; liquidity remains strong .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 revenue beat: $202.8M actual vs $198.8M consensus* (benefited from industrial, portable electronics, A&D, ADAS, and $3.6M FX tailwind) .
- Q2 2025 normalized/adjusted EPS miss: $0.34 actual vs $0.50 consensus* (mix underperformance, Belgium write-off, underutilization at curamik Germany) .
- Gross margin largely in-line: 31.6% actual vs 31.65% consensus* .
- Note: All consensus values from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term setup: Expect modest top-line growth and margin uptick in Q3; watch for delivery against adjusted EPS $0.50–$0.90 and gross margin 31.5–33.5% — management flagged operational levers and cost actions as primary drivers .
- Structural pivot in curamik®: Capacity shift to China and European downsizing should improve competitiveness; savings >$13M annual run-rate but largely back-end loaded (Q4 2026) — important for medium-term margin trajectory .
- Watch mix and utilization: Belgium closure and German underutilization were Q2 headwinds; sustained volume recovery is key to absorbing fixed costs and expanding margins .
- Capital returns and liquidity: Ongoing buybacks ($28.1M in Q2; ~$76M remaining) and reduced 2025 capex ($30–$40M) support FCF resilience and shareholder returns .
- Tariff sensitivity manageable: Local-for-local footprint and mitigation actions kept Q2 impact small; policy shifts remain a risk, but management plans to offset .
- Execution is the narrative: New interim CEO emphasizes speed of execution and product cadence; monitor lead-time reduction and design-win conversion in data center/ADAS/EV/industrial .
- Trading lens: Revenue beat vs miss on adjusted EPS suggests the stock’s reaction will hinge on confidence in Q3 margin delivery and visibility on curamik restructuring cadence; updates on China ramp and EU consultation milestones are potential catalysts .